WORKSHOP / 2013 International Conference on Climate Change

會議緣起

近年來重大天然災害的發生常被與歸咎於全球暖化，氣候變遷研究也已成為需要慎重面對的一個 議題。為了因應氣候變遷議題，許多國家開始執行國家級計畫， 期待透過氣候推估及衝擊評估的研究成果來協助擬定調適策略。在臺灣，目前政府部門有數個氣候變遷相關計畫正推動中，如國科會於2009年陸續啟動三個氣候變遷研究的大型整合型計畫，經濟部水利署亦於2009年起開始執行「氣候變遷對水環境之衝擊與調適研究計畫」，行政院經濟建設委員會則在本年度 通過「國家氣候變遷調適政策綱領」，並研擬相關之行動計畫方案以落實研發成果於調適策略。
今年為國科會所推動三個氣候變遷優勢領域計畫之一的「台灣氣候變遷推估與資訊平台建置計 畫」（簡稱TCCIP）以及水利署「氣候變遷對水環境之衝擊與調適研究計畫」 執行的第三年。TCCIP計畫由國家災害防救科技中心負責協調規劃執行，在氣候變遷研究、推估資料產製與跨領域研究 上已有一些實質的成果。透過與TCCIP計畫的合作，水利署的計畫在氣候變遷對水資源、乾旱、防洪與海岸等領域的衝擊評估上皆有具 體研究成果，並已依據這些成果提出調適策略的建議。在未來幾年，TCCIP計畫將基於過去經驗，產製最新的東亞及臺灣地區氣候變遷與氣候推估資料，並提供氣候資料應 用的科研交流與服務，一方面服務學界，另一方面亦提供氣候變遷相關科學數據與科研成果作為「國家氣候變遷調適政策綱領」相關行動計畫推動 時之參考。

「2013氣候變遷國際研討會」指導單位為國科會及經濟部，由國家災害防救科技中心與水利署共同主 辦，協辦單位包括中研院環境變遷中心、中央氣象局以及相關大學，擬邀請日本、英國、美國、荷蘭、澳洲與韓國等10餘位國際專家學者進行交流。希望藉由講者的演說、成果發表及討論，讓與會者瞭解國際氣候變遷研究趨勢、促進各國之間的學術交流並加強資 料產製端與各類應用端之跨領域溝通與合作。此次會議將著重在各國氣候變遷國家級計畫 的介紹、氣候變遷的推估以及氣候變遷衝擊的研究成果。

舉辦時間與地點

2013/1/15-16@國家圖書館國際會議廳
2013/1/17@國立台灣大學集思會議中心

會議主題

一、各國家氣候變遷計畫 
二、氣候變遷推估
三、氣候變遷衝擊研究

研討會網站：http://tccip.ncdr.nat.gov.tw/activity/ICCC2013

 

國際研討會
 
15-Jan
Program  Time Content 
　 8:30-9:00  Registration 
Opening  09:00-09:30  Opening Address 
陳亮全主任 Liang-Chun Chen, Director of NCDR
楊偉甫署長 Wei-Fuu Yang, Director-General of WRA 
Opening Remark 
賀陳弘副主任委員  Hong Hocheng, Deputy Minister of NSC)
杜紫軍 次長 Woody Tyzz-Jiun  Duh, Vice Minister of  MOEA
李鴻源 部長 Hong-Yuan Lee, Minister of Ministry of the Interior
09:30-09:40 

Group Photo
Opening Presentation  09:40-10:10 林李耀 副執行秘書 Lee-Yaw Lin, NCDR (Taiwan) 
Introduction on Taiwan Climate Change Projection and Information Platform (TCCIP) Project – from Technology and Data Service to Application
10:10-10:40 楊偉甫署長 Wei-Fuu Yang, WRA (Taiwan)
Introduction to Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation on Water Environment of Taiwan
Tea Break  10:40-11:00  Tea Break 
Project/Plan on Climate Change 
Chair :  
Dr. Huang-Hsiung Hsu		 11:00-11:50  Mark S. Smith, CSIRO (Australia)
From climate science to adaptation decision-making  
Lunch Break  11:50-13:30  Lunch Break 
Project/Plan on Climate Change 
Chair :  
Dr. Huang-Hsiung Hsu		 13:30-14:10  Young-Han Kwon, KACCC (Korea)
Climate change adaptation policy and future direction in Korea 
14:10-14:50  Eiichi Nakakita, DPRI (Japan) 
On “Program for Risk Information on Climate Change” - post KAKUSHIN program named "SOUSEI"
Tea Break  14:50-15:10  Tea Break 
Project/Plan on Climate Change
Chair :  
Dr. Chen-Ta Chen		 15:10-15:50  許晃雄 Huang-Hsiung Hsu, RCEC (Taiwan)
Introduction of climate change programs of National Science Council of Taiwan
15:50-16:30  Chin-Seung Chung, APCC (Korea)
APCC’s future plan and climate data service
 

 


 
 
16-Jan
Program  Time Content 
Climate Change Projection 
Chair :  
Dr. Chia Chou		 8:45-09:10  陳正達 Chen-Ta Chen, NTNU (Taiwan)
Regionalization of future climate change projection and uncertainty over Taiwan: from mean climate states to high-impact weather and climate extremes
09:10-09:35  Toshiyuki Nakaegawa, MRI (Japan)
Future climate projection in Asian monsoon region with a high-resolution AGCM
09:35-10:00  Yukari Takayabu, AORI (Japan)
Factors affecting the distribution of tropical precipitation in CMIP5 models and their effects to future projections
Tea Break  10:00-10:20  Tea Break 
Climate Change Projection 
Chair :  
Dr. Pay-Liam Lin		 10:20-10:45  鄭兆尊 Chao-Tzuen Cheng, NCDR (Taiwan) 
Future projection of Meiyu rainfall over Taiwan: results of dynamical downscaling for the TCCIP project
10:45-11:10 

Hidetaka Sasaki, MRI (Japan)
The development of non-hydrostatic regional climate model in SOUSEI program

11:10-11:35 

鄭克聲 Ke-Sheng Cheng, NTU (Taiwan)
Assessment of hydrologic projections under climate change

11:35-12:00 

Phillip B. Duffy, LLNL (USA)
Impacts and adaptation assessments: downscaling, uncertainty quantification, and stakeholder-driven approaches

Lunch Break  12:00-13:00  Lunch Break 
Climate Change Impact Assessment
Chair :  
Chyan-ling Tyan,deputy director of WRA

13:00-13:40

Arjen Hoekstra, Univ. of Twente (Netherlands)
The water footprint of humanity – the global dimension of water management

13:40-14:00

童慶斌 Ching-Pin Tung, NTU (Taiwan)
Strengthening water supply system adaptive capacity to climate change in Taiwan _ Northern and Southern Region

14:00-14:10

張良正 Liang-Cheng Chang, NCTU (Taiwan)
Strengthening water supply system adaptive capacity to climate change in Taiwan _ central region

14:10-14:30

林裕彬 Yu-Pin Lin, NTU (Taiwan)
Strengthening water supply system adaptive capacity to climate change in Taiwan_ eastern region, outlying islands region and summary

14:30-14:55

許泰文 Tai-Wen Hsu, NTOU (Taiwan)
Adaptation capacity of coastal disasters due to climate change to strengthen northwest area of Taiwan

Tea Break  14:55-15:15  Tea Break 
Climate Change Impact Assessment
Chair :  
Bor-Hsun Lai,  deputy director of WRA

15:15-15:40

APIP / Eiichi Nakakita, DPRI (Japan)
Water and sediment-related problem / disaster projections in Western Japan under climate change

15:40-16:05

李欣輯 Hsin-Chi Li, NCDR (Taiwan)
Disaster impact assessment of simulated extremely climate events

16:05-16:30

Yoshio Kajitani, DPRI (Japan)
Measuring economic impacts caused by a natural disaster under a context of global warming

16:30-16:55

陳韻如 Yun-Ju Chen, NCDR (Taiwan)
Impact and uncertainty of climate change on water resource in Taiwan

 
 
TCCIP成果發表會
 
　 1月17日  內容 
報到  08:45-09:00  　
開幕式 
(主持：陳亮全主任) 　

09:00-09:05

　		 開幕致詞  陳亮全 主任  (NCDR) 

09:05-09:15

 貴賓致詞 陳于高處長  (NSC) 

09:15-0935

 臺灣氣候變遷推估與資訊平台建置  
Taiwan climate change projection and information platform
林李耀 副執行秘書 (NCDR) 
茶敘  9:35-09:50  茶敘 
臺灣氣候變遷 
(主持：許晃雄研究員) 

09:50-10:15

極端降雨如何隨全球温度變化?
How much do precipitation extremes change in a warming climate?
劉紹臣 院士 (RCEC) 

10:15-10:40

臺灣氣候變異與年代際變化分析
The decadal and multi-decadal climate variability in Taiwan
盧孟明 研究員 (CWB)

10:40-11:10

臺灣地區月降雨及溫度1公里網格資料庫之建立(1960-2009)及其在近未來(2015-2039)的氣候推估應用
The construction of monthly rainfall and temperature datasets with 1km gridded resolution over Taiwan area (1960-2009) and its application to climate projection in the near future (2015-2039)
翁叔平 副教授 (NTNU)

11:10-11:25

 綜合討論
降尺度推估 
(主持：陳正達 教授) 

11:25-11:50

ECHAM5及MRI模式動力降尺度之結果比較
Results of dynamical downscaling on climate projections of MRI AGCM and ECHAM5
林傳堯 副研究員 (RCEC)

11:50-12:20

以統計方法提供臺灣未來氣候變遷推估的區域細節與機率分佈：從平均氣候狀態到極端天氣與氣候指標Regionalization of future climate change projection and uncertainty over Taiwan: from mean climate states to high-impact weather and climate extremes
陳正達 教授 (NTNU)

12:20-12:35

 綜合討論 
午休  12:35-13:40  午休 
氣候資料應用與服務
(主持：葉克家教授)   　　　　　

13:40-14:05

氣候變遷下之流量推估
Study on the flow estimate under climate change
魏曉萍 博士 (NCDR)

14:05-14:30

氣候變遷下颱風季節降雨特性與水文頻率分析Assessment of rainfall characteristics during typhoon season and hydrologic frequency analysis under climate change
蘇元風博士 (NCDR)

14:30-15:00

TCCIP資料應用服務介紹
Introduction of data service for TCCIP
朱容練助研究員

15:00-15:20

 綜合討論  
茶敘  15:20-15:40  茶敘 
臺灣氣候變遷論壇
(主持：陳宏宇副主任) 　  　　　　		 15:40-17:00

許晃雄研究員 (RCEC)、陳正達教授 (NTNU)、葉克家教授 (NCTU)、林李耀副執行秘書 (NCDR)、陳永明副研究員 (NCDR)
討論主題 :
(1) 氣候資料需求與資料應用經驗分享
(2) 氣候變遷衝擊研究的進展與困境 

 
 
 
水利署成果發表會
 
2013/01/17　氣候變遷對水環境衝擊與調適研究成果發表會
時間  議程 

講者
08:30-09:00  報到領取資料

09:00-09:20

 長官致詞

09:20-10:20

氣候變遷水文情境評估方法

台灣大學　鄭克聲教授

10:20-10:40

 休息

10:40-11:40

因應氣候變遷水資源管理
衝擊與調適評估方法

台灣大學　童慶斌教授

 
TitleSpeakerSlideVideo
Opening Remark賀陳弘副主任委員 Hong Hocheng, Deputy Minister of NSC & 杜紫軍 次長 Woody Tyzz-Jiun Duh, Vice Minister of MOEA & 李鴻源 部長 Hong-Yuan Lee, Minister of Ministry of the Interior Video
Opening Address陳亮全主任 Liang-Chun Chen, Director of NCDR & 楊偉甫署長 Wei-Fuu Yang, Director-General of WRA  Video
Introduction on Taiwan Climate Change Projection and Information Platform (TCCIP) Project – from Technology and Data Service to Application林李耀 副執行秘書 Lee-Yaw Lin, NCDR (Taiwan) SlideVideo
Introduction to Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation on Water Environment of Taiwan楊偉甫署長 Wei-Fuu Yang, WRA (Taiwan)SlideVideo
From climate science to adaptation decision-making Mark S. Smith, CSIRO (Australia)SlideVideo
Climate change adaptation policy and future direction in Korea Young-Han Kwon, KACCC (Korea)SlideVideo
On “Program for Risk Information on Climate Change” - post KAKUSHIN program named "SOUSEI"Eiichi Nakakita, DPRI (Japan) SlideVideo
Introduction of climate change programs of National Science Council of Taiwan許晃雄 Huang-Hsiung Hsu, RCEC (Taiwan)SlideVideo
APCC’s future plan and climate data serviceChin-Seung Chung, APCC (Korea)SlideVideo
Regionalization of future climate change projection and uncertainty over Taiwan: from mean climate states to high-impact weather and climate extremes陳正達 Chen-Ta ChenSlideVideo
Future climate projection in Asian monsoon region with a high-resolution AGCMToshiyuki NakaegawaSlideVideo
Factors affecting the distribution of tropical precipitation in CMIP5 models and their effects to future projectionsYukari TakayabuSlideVideo
Future projection of Meiyu rainfall over Taiwan: results of dynamical downscaling for the TCCIP project鄭兆尊 Chao-Tzuen ChengSlideVideo
The development of non-hydrostatic regional climate model in SOUSEI programHidetaka SasakiSlideVideo
Assessment of hydrologic projections under climate change鄭克聲 Ke-Sheng ChengSlideVideo
Impacts and adaptation assessments: downscaling, uncertainty quantification, and stakeholder-driven approachesPhillip B. DuffySlideVideo
The water footprint of humanity – the global dimension of water managementArjen HoekstraSlideVideo
Strengthening water supply system adaptive capacity to climate change in Taiwan _ Northern and Southern Region童慶斌 Ching-Pin TungSlideVideo
Strengthening water supply system adaptive capacity to climate change in Taiwan _ central region張良正 Liang-Cheng ChangSlideVideo
Strengthening water supply system adaptive capacity to climate change in Taiwan_ eastern region, outlying islands region and summary林裕彬 Yu-Pin LinSlideVideo
Adaptation capacity of coastal disasters due to climate change to strengthen northwest area of Taiwan許泰文 Tai-Wen HsuSlideVideo
Water and sediment-related problem / disaster projections in Western Japan under climate changeAPIP / Eiichi NakakitaSlide 
Disaster impact assessment of simulated extremely climate events李欣輯 Hsin-Chi LiSlide 
Measuring economic impacts caused by a natural disaster under a context of global warmingYoshio KajitaniSlide 
Impact and uncertainty of climate change on water resource in Taiwan陳韻如 Yun-Ju ChenSlide 
【TCCIP成果發表會】開幕致詞 / 貴賓致詞 陳亮全 主任 (NCDR) / 陳于高處長 (NSC)  Video
【TCCIP成果發表會】臺灣氣候變遷推估與資訊平台建置 Taiwan climate change projection and information platform林李耀 副執行秘書 (NCDR) SlideVideo
【TCCIP成果發表會】極端降雨如何隨全球温度變化? How much do precipitation extremes change in a warming climate?劉紹臣 院士 (RCEC) SlideVideo
【TCCIP成果發表會】臺灣氣候變異與年代際變化分析 The decadal and multi-decadal climate variability in Taiwan盧孟明 研究員 (CWB)SlideVideo
【TCCIP成果發表會】臺灣地區月降雨及溫度1公里網格資料庫之建立(1960-2009)及其在近未來(2015-2039)的氣候推估應用The construction of monthly rainfall and temperature datasets with 1km gridded resolution over Taiwan area(1960-2009)and its application to climate projection in the near future(2015-2039翁叔平 副教授 (NTNU)SlideVideo
【TCCIP成果發表會】ECHAM5及MRI模式動力降尺度之結果比較 Results of dynamical downscaling on climate projections of MRI AGCM and ECHAM5林傳堯 副研究員 (RCEC)SlideVideo
【TCCIP成果發表會】以統計方法提供臺灣未來氣候變遷推估的區域細節與機率分佈：從平均氣候狀態到極端天氣與氣候指標Regionalization of future climate change projection and uncertainty over Taiwan: from mean climate states to high-impact weather and climate extremes陳正達 教授 (NTNU)SlideVideo
【TCCIP成果發表會】氣候變遷下之流量推估 Study on the flow estimate under climate change魏曉萍 博士 (NCDR)SlideVideo
【TCCIP成果發表會】氣候變遷下颱風季節降雨特性與水文頻率分析Assessment of rainfall characteristics during typhoon season and hydrologic frequency analysis under climate change蘇元風 博士 (NCDR)SlideVideo
【TCCIP成果發表會】TCCIP資料應用服務介紹 Introduction of data service for TCCIP朱容練 助研究員SlideVideo
臺灣氣候變遷論壇：討論主題： (1) 氣候資料需求與資料應用經驗分享 (2) 氣候變遷衝擊研究的進展與困境 許晃雄研究員 (RCEC)、陳正達教授 (NTNU)、葉克家教授 (NCTU)、林李耀副執行秘書 (NCDR)、陳永明副研究員 (NCDR) Video