Data Service / Projection
Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), a set of four new pathways developed for the climate modeling community as a basis for long-term and near-term modeling experiments. The four RCPs together span the range of year 2100 radiative forcing values found in the open literature, i.e. from 2.6 to 8.5 W/m2 . The RCPs are the product of an innovative collaboration between integrated assessment modelers, climate modelers, terrestrial ecosystem modelers and emission inventory experts.The resulting product forms a comprehensive data set with high spatial and sectoral resolutions for the period extending to 2100.
Table 1 Overview of representative concentration pathways (RCPs)
RCP8.5 | Rising radiative forcing pathway leading to 8.5 W/m2 (~1370 ppm CO2 eq) by 2100. |
RCP6.0 | Stabilization without overshoot pathway to 6 W/m2 (~850 ppm CO2 eq) at stabilization after 2100 |
RCP4.5 | Stabilization without overshoot pathway to 4.5 W/m2 (~650 ppm CO2 eq) at stabilization after 2100 |
RCP2.6 | Peak in radiative forcing at ~3 W/m2 (~490 ppm CO2 eq) before 2100 and then decline (the selected pathway declines to 2.6 W/m2 by 2100). |
Reference
The Representative Concentration Pathways: An Overview. Climatic Change, 109 (1-2), 5-31.
The following is a list of the models presented in the TCCIP. This list is extracted from the information provided by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) Climate Model website.
ACCESS1.0 | 1.241X1.875 | CSIRO-BOM | Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator 1.0 |
ACCESS1.3 | 1.241X1.875 | CSIRO-BOM | Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator 1.3 |
BCC-CSM1.1 | 2.813X2.813 | BCC | Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model version 1.1, China |
BCC-CSM1.1m | 1.125X1.125 | BCC | Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model version 1.1, China, high resolution |
BNU-ESM | 2.813X2.813 | BNU | College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Chian, Beijing Normal University Eath System Model |
CCSM4 | 0.938X1.250 | NCAR | NCAR Community Climate System Model version 4.0 |
CESM1-BGC | 0.938X1.250 | NSF-DOE-NCAR | NCAR Community Earth System Model version 1 with carbon cycle |
CESM1-CAM5 | 0.938X1.250 | NSF-DOE-NCAR | Coupled simulations from CESM1 using the atmosphere model of Community Atmosphere Model version 5 |
CESM1-CAM5-1-FV2 | 1.875X2.500 | NSF-DOE-NCAR | CESM1-CAM5.1-Finite volume 2 |
CMCC-CESM | 3.750X3.750 | CMCC | Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per I Cambiamenti Climatici(CMCC) Carbon Earth System Model |
CMCC-CM | 0.750X0.750 | CMCC | Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per I Cambiamenti Climatici Climate Model |
CMCC-CMS | 1.875X1.875 | CMCC | Centro Euro-Mediterraneo per I Cambiamenti Climatici, Climate Model with a resolved Stratosphere |
CNRM-CM5 | 1.406X1.406 | CNRM-CERFACS | Centre National de Recherches Meteorologiques(CNRM) Earth System Model version 5, France |
CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 | 1.875X1.875 | CSIRO-QCCCE | CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Australia, Mk3.6 Model |
CanESM2 | 2.813X2.813 | CCCma | Canadian Earth System Model version 2 |
EC-EARTH | 1.125X1.125 | ICHEC | European Earth System Model |
FGOALS-g2 | 3.000X2.813 | LASG-CESS | Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model, Grid-point Version 2, China |
FIO-ESM | 2.813X2.813 | FIO | The First Institution of Oceanography(FIO) Earth System Model, China |
GFDL-CM3 | 2.000X2.500 | NOAA-GFDL | Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Coupled Model, version 3 |
GFDL-ESM2G | 2.000X2.500 | NOAA-GFDL | Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Earth System Model couple TOPAZ ocean model |
GFDL-ESM2M | 2.000X2.500 | NOAA-GFDL | Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Earth System Model couple MOM4 ocean model |
GISS-E2-H | 2.000X2.500 | NASA-GISS | NASA GISS ModelE version 2, HYCOM ocean model |
GISS-E2-H-CC | 2.000X2.500 | NASA-GISS | NASA GISS-E2-H with interactive terrestrial carbon cycle and oceanic bio-geochemistry |
GISS-E2-R | 2.000X2.500 | NASA-GISS | NASA GISS ModelE version 2, Russell ocean model |
GISS-E2-R-CC | 2.000X2.500 | NASA-GISS | NASA GISS-E2-R with interactive terrestrial carbon cycle and oceanic bio-geochemistry |
HadGEM2-AO | 1.241X1.875 | NIMR-KMA | Hadley Global Environment Model 2, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Seoul, South Korea |
HadGEM2-CC | 1.241X1.875 | MOHC | Met Office Hadley Centre, Hadley Global Environment Model 2 - Carbon Cycle |
HadGEM2-ES | 1.241X1.875 | MOHC | Met Office Hadley Centre, Hadley Global Environment Model 2 - Earth System |
INM-CM4 | 1.500X2.000 | INM | Institute for Numerical Mathematics, Russia, INMCM4.0 Model |
IPSL-CM5A-LR | 1.875X3.750 | IPSL | Institute Pierre-Simon Laplace, France, with LMDZ4 atmosphere model |
IPSL-CM5A-MR | 1.259X2.500 | IPSL | IPSL-CM4A with medium resolution |
IPSL-CM5B-LR | 1.875X3.750 | IPSL | Institute Pierre-Simon Laplace, France, with LMDZ5 atmosphere model |
MIROC5 | 1.406X1.406 | MIROC | CCSR/NIES/FRCGC, Japan, MIROC Model V5 |
MIROC-ESM | 2.813X2.813 | MIROC | CCSR/NIES/FRCGC, MIROC, Japan, Earth System Model |
MIROC-ESM-CHEM | 2.813X2.813 | MIROC | CCSR/NIES/FRCGC, MIROC, Japan Earth System Model with Chemistry |
MPI-ESM-LR | 1.875X1.875 | MPI-M | Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany, Earth System Model- low resolution grid |
MPI-ESM-MR | 1.875X1.875 | MPI-M | Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany, Earth System Model-medium resolution grid |
MRI-CGCM3 | 1.125X1.125 | MRI | Meteorological Research Institute, Japan, CGCM3 |
MRI-ESM1 | 1.125X1.125 | MRI | Meteorological Research Institute, Japan, Earth System Model version 1 |
NorESM1-M | 1.875X2.500 | NCC | Norwegian Earth System Model 1 - medium resolution |
NorESM1-ME | 1.875X2.500 | NCC | Norwegian Earth System Model 1 - medium resolution with capability to be fully emission driven |
1. Temperature(℃) :Actual change value between the future climate to a baseline time period (1986-2005)
2. Precipitaion(%) :Percentgae of change between the future climate to a baseline time period (1986-2005)
3. TCCIP provide statistical downscaled projection data.
4. Statistical downscale approch from Wood et al. (2002 2004) and Maurer (2007)